All this talk of May's deal or no Brexit is nonsense. May's deal is no Brexit, because it is the only scenario in which Brexit is guaranteed to fail.
Look at the alternatives and you will see that there is not a thing called 'no Brexit'.
There are only two ways to thwart Brexit:-
- Extend Article 50 to allow for another Referendum, or a General Election.
- Revoke Article 50
And neither path forces us the remain in EU if the people really want to leave.
The popular thinking, that a second referendum will easily overturn the previous result, is grossly mistaken.
When/if it is called, the media must return to fair and balanced coverage of the debate, and the British public are far more aware of the issues and deceptions than they ever were before the last vote.
Both sides will have their cases scrutinized in depth, and previous lies will be exposed remorselessly.
What effect will that have?
Well, the Brexit bus will need to remove it's £350 million per week, and replace that with £20 million per day or whatever, perhaps less dramatic, but hardly a deal breaker, and undeniably accurate. True the remainers will also point to the difficulty of negotiations, but an electorate that has watched events over the last two plus years, will know that uncommitted and weak negotiators were to blame, and they will demand a tougher, more determined team; in effect, they will want more Brexit, not less.
And what of the Remainers case?
The true face of EU has been revealed over the last while, and Brexit exaggerations will pale against the downright lies of Remainer rhetoric:-
- No EU army. Lie
- ECJ does not supersede UK Courts. Lie
- EU is for Internet freedom. Lie
- No plans to make UN migration pact EU law. Lie
- EU is honest broker and will not seek to punish UK. Lie
An early General Election would probably result from either of these attempts to halt Brexit, and the results of this would be carnage for the main parties, resulting in a solid Leaver Parliament, with a firm mandate to get us out of EU forthwith. It's ironic, that the only person who might scupper this outcome, is the very one who did most to deliver the first referendum: Nigel Farage.
If Nigel allows his ego to trump Brexit, and splits the Leave vote, then history will judge him very severely. Should he choose to work with the other Leavers, the Brexit parties can concentrate their efforts and resources in constituencies with remainer MPs, by also agreeing not to stand against MPs who have a consistent voting record in favour of Leave.
The only people who should have anything to fear from a GE or 2nd Referendum, are those who have deceived and delayed during the past nearly three years; and the voting public know who they are, in a way that they have never known before.
What happens after the WA is finally voted down may not be entirely predictable, but if the people still want to leave, then it most certainly does not mean no Brexit. But, regardless of what the people want, voting for Teresa May's deal means that negotiating a beneficial Brexit would be virtually impossible, because the threat of backstop and remaining tied to the EU during negotiations, is the actual catastrophe that No Deal is supposed to be.
The EU have already demonstrated their lack of respect for Britain, and that was before they held the upper hand, and May's Wretched Agreement gives them that whip hand, while tying ours firmly behind our backs.
Just say NO way, WA.
